Geopolitics
U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by December 31?
14%chance
New
Will Russia capture Kupiansk by...?
September 30
14%
December 31
30%
New
Will Ukraine re-enter Kamianske by June 30?
26%chance
$11.1K Vol.
Trump meets with Putin by...?
June 30
7%
September 30
20%
New
Will Russia capture Orikhiv by...?
December 31
24%
September 30
14%
$12.5K Vol.
Will Russia capture Borova by December 31, 2026?
30%chance
New
Will Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by...?
December 31
57%
September 30
27%
New
Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire by...?
June 30
3%
October 31
21%
$226K Vol.
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by...?
May 31
--
June 30
6%
$2.3M Vol.
Which cities will Russia enter by December 31?
Sloviansk
24%
Sumy
12%
$161.3K Vol.
Will Russia capture all of Rodynske again by...?
June 30
37%
May 31
--
$39.4K Vol.
Russia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by...?
May 31
--
June 30
8%
$247.1K Vol.
Will Russia capture Rai-Oleksandrivka by...?
10%
December 31
--
New
Will Russia capture Prymorske by...?
June 30
3%
September 30
11%
$19.5K Vol.
Will Russia capture Verkhnia Tersa by...?
--
July 31
--
$45.2K Vol.
Will Russia capture Myropillia by...?
--
July 31
--
$49.3K Vol.
Will Ukraine re-enter Myrnohrad by...?
--
December 31
--
$14.9K Vol.
Will Russia capture all of Bilytske by...?
5%
December 31
--
$38.9K Vol.