Geopolitics
Trump meets with Ayatollah Mojtaba Khamenei by...?
June 30
<1%
June 15
<1%
New
Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30?
80+
11%
20+
40%
$41.7K Vol.
Monthly
How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz week of June 1?
<25
10%
25-49
83%
$30K Vol.
Weekly
Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz end of June?
40-60
8%
60+
9%
$10.7K Vol.
Monthly
U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by December 31?
14%chance
New
Will Russia capture Kupiansk by...?
September 30
14%
December 31
31%
New
Will Trump designate Brazil's PCC or CV as a terrorists by December 31?
>99%chance
New
Israeli forces enter Nabatieh by...?
5%chance
$70K Vol.
Israeli forces enter Choukine by...?
9%chance
$35K Vol.
Israeli forces enter Tyre by...?
2%chance
$16.6K Vol.
Will Ukraine re-enter Kamianske by June 30?
23%chance
$11.8K Vol.
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?
20%chance
$47.7K Vol.
Monthly
Who will meet with Iran by June 30?
Marco Rubio
11%
Jared Kushner
20%
$17.3K Vol.
Monthly
Will Trump praise Allah again by June 30?
9%chance
New
Trump meets with Putin by...?
June 30
5%
September 30
20%
New
Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by June 30?
2%chance
New
Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by...?
>99%chance
$4.7M Vol.
U.S. evacuates Beirut Embassy by June 30?
4%chance
$55K Vol.
Monthly