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Geopolitics
Israeli forces enter Nabatieh by...?
June 7
18%
Yes
No
May 31
1%
Yes
No
$50.8K Vol.
Israeli forces enter Choukine by...?
May 31
1%
Yes
No
June 7
25%
Yes
No
$24.9K Vol.
Israeli forces enter Tyre by...?
May 31
<1%
Yes
No
June 7
3%
Yes
No
$13.9K Vol.
Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by...?
June 7
17%
Yes
No
June 30
--
Yes
No
$334.8K Vol.
U.S. evacuates Beirut Embassy by June 30?
Yes
No
7%
chance
$53.7K Vol.
Monthly
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?
Yes
No
28%
chance
New
Monthly
Iran x Oman Strait of Hormuz agreement by June 15?
Yes
No
6%
chance
$12.5K Vol.
Saudi Arabia bans US military aircraft by...?
May 31
--
Yes
No
May 22
--
Yes
No
$151.9K Vol.
Will any country join the Board of Peace by June 30?
Yes
No
14%
chance
$14K Vol.
Will UAE leave the Gulf Cooperation Council in 2026?
Yes
No
10%
chance
$24K Vol.
UAE x Saudi Arabia sever diplomatic relations in 2026?
Yes
No
6%
chance
New
Will another country leave OPEC in 2026?
Yes
No
25%
chance
$94.8K Vol.
UAE x Qatar sever diplomatic relations in 2026?
Yes
No
8%
chance
$305.5K Vol.
Will any country expel an Israeli ambassador by December 31?
Yes
No
38%
chance
$30.1K Vol.
Will any country expel a U.S. ambassador by December 31?
Yes
No
26%
chance
$16.6K Vol.
Daily
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?
Yes
No
53%
chance
$468.7K Vol.
Monthly
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by...?
December 31
38%
Yes
No
June 30
10%
Yes
No
$13.6M Vol.
Joseph Aoun out as President of Lebanon by December 31?
Yes
No
14%
chance
New
Monthly