Geopolitics
Where will the next US-Iran diplomatic meeting happen?
Italy
<1%
Egypt
<1%
$7.9M Vol.
Daily
Will Trump visit Greenland by...?
17%chance
New
US takes Panama Canal before 2027?
9%chance
$81K Vol.
Will a US ally get a nuke before 2027?
10%chance
$51.5K Vol.
Will North and South Korea engage in direct talks by June 30?
2%chance
$19K Vol.
Ukraine joins NATO before 2027?
5%chance
$1.1M Vol.
U.S. forces in Gaza before 2027?
14%chance
$50.6K Vol.
NATO article 5 before 2027?
11%chance
$89K Vol.
Will US withdraw from NATO by...?
December 31
8%
June 30
1%
$5.5M Vol.
Will Hezbollah disarm by...?
17%chance
$2.9M Vol.
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?
31%chance
$1.5M Vol.
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?
16%chance
$246.1K Vol.
Monthly
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027?
20%chance
$106.7K Vol.
Nord Stream pipeline turned on before 2027?
6%chance
$23.5K Vol.
Will Hamas agree to disarm by...?
5%chance
$121.8K Vol.
Ukraine election called by...?
June 30, 2026
--
December 31, 2026
--
$1.5M Vol.
Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by...?
December 31, 2026
9%
June 30, 2026
<1%
$2.6M Vol.