Geopolitics
Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30?
80+
11%
20+
40%
$39.2K Vol.
Monthly
How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz week of June 1?
<25
6%
25-49
79%
$25.1K Vol.
Weekly
Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz end of June?
40-60
8%
60+
9%
$10.7K Vol.
Monthly
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?
3%chance
$3.4M Vol.
Monthly
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
35%chance
$2.7M Vol.
Monthly
Crude Oil all time high by...?
May 31
--
June 30
3%
$760.4K Vol.
OPEC Crude Oil production above __ in May?
18 Million
20%
19 Million
9%
$11.6K Vol.
Will UAE leave the Gulf Cooperation Council in 2026?
10%chance
$24K Vol.
UAE x Saudi Arabia sever diplomatic relations in 2026?
6%chance
New
OPEC dissolves in 2026?
9%chance
$19K Vol.
Will another country leave OPEC in 2026?
26%chance
$94.8K Vol.
UAE x Qatar sever diplomatic relations in 2026?
8%chance
$305.5K Vol.
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
17%chance
$13.6M Vol.
Monthly
Will US crude oil reserves fall to __ by June 5?
350M
80%
300M
<1%
$103.2K Vol.
Monthly
US x Cuba economic deal by...?
14%chance
$125.7K Vol.