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Geopolitics
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by...?
June 7
95%
Yes
No
June 15
97%
Yes
No
$17.8K Vol.
Monthly
Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30?
80+
8%
Yes
No
20+
41%
Yes
No
$17.5K Vol.
Monthly
How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz week of June 1?
<25
13%
Yes
No
25-49
66%
Yes
No
New
Weekly
Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz end of June?
40-60
8%
Yes
No
60+
10%
Yes
No
New
Monthly
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?
Yes
No
15%
chance
$39.7K Vol.
Monthly
Who will meet with Iran by June 30?
Marco Rubio
11%
Yes
No
Jared Kushner
24%
Yes
No
$14K Vol.
Monthly
Will Trump praise Allah again by June 30?
Yes
No
9%
chance
New
Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by June 30?
Yes
No
3%
chance
New
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?
Yes
No
3%
chance
$2.9M Vol.
Monthly
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?
Yes
No
28%
chance
New
Monthly
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by...?
June 7
9%
Yes
No
June 30
--
Yes
No
$23.9M Vol.
Iran x Oman Strait of Hormuz agreement by June 15?
Yes
No
6%
chance
$12.6K Vol.
Saudi Arabia bans US military aircraft by...?
May 31
--
Yes
No
May 22
--
Yes
No
$152.6K Vol.
Will Trump restart Project Freedom by...?
Yes
No
--
chance
$252.5K Vol.
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Yes
No
39%
chance
$2.4M Vol.
Monthly
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
Yes
No
75%
chance
$571.3K Vol.
Monthly
JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by...?
May 31
--
Yes
No
June 30
14%
Yes
No
$196.4K Vol.
KRG declares independence from Iraq by December 31?
Yes
No
10%
chance
$52.8K Vol.