Economy
Fed Decision in September?
50+ bps decrease
2%
25 bps decrease
8%
$85.7K Vol.
Monthly
Fed decisions (Jun-Sep)
Cut–Pause–Pause
<1%
Cut–Pause–Cut
3%
New
Daily
How many dissent at the next Fed meeting?
0
70%
1
15%
$27.3K Vol.
Daily
Fed rate hike by...?
September Meeting
--
July Meeting
--
$155.2K Vol.
Fed decisions (Apr-Jul)
Pause–Pause–Cut
2%
Pause–Pause–Pause
93%
$53.9K Vol.
Daily
Fed Decision in July?
50+ bps increase
<1%
25 bps decrease
2%
$7.3M Vol.
Monthly
Fed decisions (Mar-Jun)
Pause–Pause–Pause
98%
Other
1%
$1.3M Vol.
Daily
Jerome Powell in jail before 2027?
2%chance
New
Fed rate cut by...?
July Meeting
--
September Meeting
--
$1.9M Vol.
Fed rate hike in 2026?
38%chance
$1.3M Vol.
Fed Decision in June?
25 bps decrease
<1%
50+ bps decrease
<1%
$54.6M Vol.
Monthly
What will Fed Rate hit before 2027?
↑ 4.25%
12%
↓ 2.0%
5%
$1.5M Vol.
Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?
--chance
$105.4K Vol.
How low will 10-year Treasury yield get before 2027?
3.9%
--
3.7%
--
$216.2K Vol.
How high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
4.8%
--
5.5%
--
$235.9K Vol.
Weekly
How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?
3 (75 bps)
--
2 (50 bps)
--
$31.5M Vol.