June 16, 2026
Fed rate cut by...?
June Meeting$279,747 Vol.--
June Meeting$279,747 Vol.
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July Meeting$76,443 Vol.--
July Meeting$76,443 Vol.
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September Meeting$97,188 Vol.--
September Meeting$97,188 Vol.
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October Meeting$44,432 Vol.--
October Meeting$44,432 Vol.
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December Meeting$111,124 Vol.--
December Meeting$111,124 Vol.
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Rules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is decreased at any point between December 16, 2025 and the completion of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting for January 2026, currently scheduled for January 27-28. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If no January meeting takes place by February 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate cut has been announced, this market will resolve to "No".
Emergency rate cuts will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Create at: Dec 16, 2025, 2:36 PM ET
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