What will Keir Starmer say at the next Prime Minister's Que… | PROBLY Prediction Market
June 10, 2026
What will Keir Starmer say at the next Prime Minister's Questions event?
Mr. Speaker 10+ times$154 Vol.
96%
Mr. Speaker 20+ times$50 Vol.
82%
Mr. Speaker 30+ times$1 Vol.
39%
Police$0 Vol.
67%
NHS$100 Vol.
75%
Trump$0 Vol.
50%
Reform$56 Vol.
89%
Transportation / Transport$0 Vol.
57%
Apologize$0 Vol.
63%
Constituent / Constituency$0 Vol.
55%
Muslim$0 Vol.
48%
Defense$0 Vol.
64%
European Union$0 Vol.
43%
Public School$0 Vol.
57%
United States$0 Vol.
47%
Sport$0 Vol.
42%
King / Queen$0 Vol.
56%
Poverty$0 Vol.
58%
Investment$34 Vol.
62%
Kid$0 Vol.
53%
Ukraine$124 Vol.
51%
Urgent$0 Vol.
14%
Public Health$5 Vol.
48%
Victim$0 Vol.
18%
Rules
Keir Starmer is scheduled to participate in the Prime Minister's Questions (PMQs) in the Commons Chamber in the Palace of Westminster on every Wednesday. (https://www.parliament.uk/visiting/visiting-and-tours/watch-committees-and-debates/prime-ministers-questions/).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Keir Starmer says the listed term during the next Prime Minister's Question Time event he participates in. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market.
Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).
AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.
If no such Prime Minister's Question Time event happens by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". If Starmer ceases to be Prime Minister for any length of time by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market is explicitly about scheduled events featuring Keir Starmer titled "Prime Minister's Question Time" (https://www.parallelparliament.co.uk/mp/keir-starmer/dept/cabinet-office/calendar). Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of named, scheduled events will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the event contains a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market.
The resolution source will be video of the events. Only remarks which are broadcast or streamed live will count toward this market's resolution.
