December 30, 2026
Venezuela leader end of 2026?
0% chance
$90,069,736.553 Vol.
Nicolás Maduro$1,731,475 Vol.72%
Nicolás Maduro$1,731,475 Vol.
72%
Delcy Rodríguez$1,601,754 Vol.19%
Delcy Rodríguez$1,601,754 Vol.
19%
María Corina Machado$1,081,955 Vol.6%
María Corina Machado$1,081,955 Vol.
6%
Edmundo González$848,040 Vol.<1%
Edmundo González$848,040 Vol.
<1%
No Head of State$1,101,240 Vol.<1%
No Head of State$1,101,240 Vol.
<1%
Jorge Rodríguez$1,006,137 Vol.<1%
Jorge Rodríguez$1,006,137 Vol.
<1%
Donald Trump$915,547 Vol.<1%
Donald Trump$915,547 Vol.
<1%
Diosdado Cabello Rondón$1,711,281 Vol.<1%
Diosdado Cabello Rondón$1,711,281 Vol.
<1%
Dinorah Figuera$2,354,967 Vol.<1%
Dinorah Figuera$2,354,967 Vol.
<1%
Vladimir Padrino López$669,241 Vol.<1%
Vladimir Padrino López$669,241 Vol.
<1%
Marco Rubio$1,003,609 Vol.<1%
Marco Rubio$1,003,609 Vol.
<1%
Pete Hegseth$8,608,265 Vol.<1%
Pete Hegseth$8,608,265 Vol.
<1%
Evan Pettus$5,172,951 Vol.<1%
Evan Pettus$5,172,951 Vol.
<1%
Frank Donovan$25,089,208 Vol.<1%
Frank Donovan$25,089,208 Vol.
<1%
Dan Caine$3,591,370 Vol.<1%
Dan Caine$3,591,370 Vol.
<1%
Richard Grenell$32,035,121 Vol.<1%
Richard Grenell$32,035,121 Vol.
<1%
Rules
This market will resolve to the individual who officially holds the position of the head of state of Venezuela on Dec 31, 2026 at 12 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, "officially holds" refers to the individual that was formally appointed, confirmed (if confirmation is required), and sworn in as the head of state of Venezuela or otherwise confirmed by official government information as being the head of state of Venezuela.
If the Venezuelan government does not clearly state who is the head of state, the market will resolve to the individual who is listed as the Head of State by the UN (see: https://www.un.org/dgacm/en/content/protocol/hshgnfa).
In the event that more than one official head of state is listed by the Venezuelan government, this market will resolve to the individual who is listed as having primary status. If no distinction is made, the market will resolve to the individual who first assumed the position.
If no individual holds the position this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.
The following do NOT constitute "officially holding" the role: nominated, announced, or designated as the head of state of Venezuela but appointment not yet effective; appointed with an effective date after Dec 31, 2026; previously served as the head of state of Venezuela but term has expired, resigned, or been terminated before Dec 31, 2026; serving as the head of state of Venezuela in a consultant, contractor, or unofficial capacity; named as successor or heir apparent to the head of state of Venezuela but not yet appointed; or holding a different role with oversight of the head of state of Venezuela but not the specified position itself.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the UN recognized government of Venezuela. If the Government of Venezuela does not clearly state who is the head of state, information from the UN and a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: this market is mutually exclusive.
Create at: Jan 4, 2026, 1:25 PM ET
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