April 29, 2027
Next French Presidential Election: who will advance to the 2nd round?
Marine Le Pen$103 Vol.--
Marine Le Pen$103 Vol.
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Jordan Bardella$209 Vol.--
Jordan Bardella$209 Vol.
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Éric Zemmour$60 Vol.--
Éric Zemmour$60 Vol.
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Édouard Philippe$1 Vol.--
Édouard Philippe$1 Vol.
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David Lisnard$0 Vol.--
David Lisnard$0 Vol.
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Xavier Bertrand$161 Vol.--
Xavier Bertrand$161 Vol.
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Laurent Wauquiez$50 Vol.--
Laurent Wauquiez$50 Vol.
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François Ruffin$125 Vol.--
François Ruffin$125 Vol.
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Gabriel Attal$0 Vol.--
Gabriel Attal$0 Vol.
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Bruno Retailleau$0 Vol.--
Bruno Retailleau$0 Vol.
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François Hollande$20 Vol.--
François Hollande$20 Vol.
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Raphaël Glucksmann$25 Vol.--
Raphaël Glucksmann$25 Vol.
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Jean-Luc Mélenchon$158 Vol.--
Jean-Luc Mélenchon$158 Vol.
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Marine Tondelier$10 Vol.--
Marine Tondelier$10 Vol.
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Fabien Roussel$50 Vol.--
Fabien Roussel$50 Vol.
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Olivier Faure$50 Vol.--
Olivier Faure$50 Vol.
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Dominique de Villepin$50 Vol.--
Dominique de Villepin$50 Vol.
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Ségolène Royal$71 Vol.--
Ségolène Royal$71 Vol.
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François Asselineau$207 Vol.--
François Asselineau$207 Vol.
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Clémentine Autain$73 Vol.--
Clémentine Autain$73 Vol.
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Nicolas Dupont-Aignan$0 Vol.--
Nicolas Dupont-Aignan$0 Vol.
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Michel Barnier$57 Vol.--
Michel Barnier$57 Vol.
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Valérie Pécresse$56 Vol.--
Valérie Pécresse$56 Vol.
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François Bayrou$11 Vol.--
François Bayrou$11 Vol.
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Élisabeth Borne$50 Vol.--
Élisabeth Borne$50 Vol.
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Yaël Braun-Pivet$85 Vol.--
Yaël Braun-Pivet$85 Vol.
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Jean Castex$52 Vol.--
Jean Castex$52 Vol.
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Gérald Darmanin$50 Vol.--
Gérald Darmanin$50 Vol.
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Carole Delga$67 Vol.--
Carole Delga$67 Vol.
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Bernard Cazeneuve$55 Vol.--
Bernard Cazeneuve$55 Vol.
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Manuel Bompard$50 Vol.--
Manuel Bompard$50 Vol.
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Mathilde Panot$50 Vol.--
Mathilde Panot$50 Vol.
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Other$91 Vol.--
Other$91 Vol.
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Sarah Knafo$10 Vol.--
Sarah Knafo$10 Vol.
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Juan Branco$121 Vol.--
Juan Branco$121 Vol.
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Clémence Guetté$78 Vol.--
Clémence Guetté$78 Vol.
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Sébastien Lecornu$5 Vol.--
Sébastien Lecornu$5 Vol.
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Rules
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier.
The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff second round.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed candidate advances to the second round of the next French presidential election or wins the election outright in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no such election occurs or the results of the first round of this election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).
Create at: Jun 1, 2026, 7:57 PM ET
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