Next French Presidential Election | PROBLY Prediction Market
April 29, 2027
Next French Presidential Election
0% chance
$92,146,140.71 Vol.
Marine Le Pen$544,149 Vol.
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Jordan Bardella$913,849 Vol.
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David Lisnard$1,181,973 Vol.
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Xavier Bertrand$3,595,231 Vol.
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Éric Zemmour$1,490,124 Vol.
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Édouard Philippe$731,808 Vol.
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Dominique de Villepin$1,231,995 Vol.
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Ségolène Royal$3,234,226 Vol.
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Fabien Roussel$2,281,593 Vol.
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Olivier Faure$3,062,541 Vol.
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Nicolas Dupont-Aignan$2,911,314 Vol.
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Michel Barnier$3,631,185 Vol.
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François Asselineau$3,689,007 Vol.
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Clémentine Autain$3,175,584 Vol.
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Gabriel Attal$1,269,837 Vol.
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Bruno Retailleau$1,401,034 Vol.
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Laurent Wauquiez$2,178,765 Vol.
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François Ruffin$1,685,678 Vol.
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Jean-Luc Mélenchon$566,814 Vol.
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Marine Tondelier$2,235,457 Vol.
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François Hollande$1,043,553 Vol.
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Raphaël Glucksmann$853,047 Vol.
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Sarah Knafo$1,323,248 Vol.
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Manuel Bompard$3,335,663 Vol.
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Mathilde Panot$3,678,361 Vol.
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Sébastien Lecornu$930,408 Vol.
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Juan Branco$1,390,369 Vol.
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Clémence Guetté$2,833,404 Vol.
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Élisabeth Borne$3,637,156 Vol.
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Yaël Braun-Pivet$3,918,446 Vol.
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Valérie Pécresse$2,737,861 Vol.
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François Bayrou$4,073,668 Vol.
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Carole Delga$2,957,783 Vol.
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Bernard Cazeneuve$1,423,707 Vol.
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Jean Castex$763,406 Vol.
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Gérald Darmanin$811,496 Vol.
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Rules
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier.
The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
This market includes any potential second round. If, for any reason, the results of the election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).