January 28, 2027
Negative GDP growth in 2026?
0% chance
$27,629.767 Vol.
Order Book
Waiting for order book data...
History
No history yet
Rules
This market will resolve to 'Yes' if the seasonally adjusted and annualized GDP growth rate for the full year 2026, as derived from the 'Advance Estimate' for Q4 2026, with a release by the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) expected in January 2027, reports a growth rate below 0. Otherwise, this market will resolve to 'No'.
The GDP release will be available at: https://www.bea.gov/data/gdp/gross-domestic-product.
Only the first available GDP report labeled as the 'Advance Estimate' for Q4 2026, which provides the initial full-year 2026 GDP growth rate, will be used for resolution. Any subsequent revisions or updates to the data will not be considered.
Create at: Nov 13, 2025, 4:27 PM ET
Comments (0)
Beware of external links.
Loading...
By trading，you agree to the Terms of Use.