Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 3rd Place | PROBLY Prediction Market
October 3, 2026
Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 3rd Place
0% chance
$315,877.537 Vol.
Renan Santos$70,432 Vol.
44%
Ronaldo Caiado$17,730 Vol.
17%
Romeu Zema$11,206 Vol.
17%
Flávio Bolsonaro$7,889 Vol.
11%
Fernando Haddad$15,523 Vol.
7%
Michelle Bolsonaro$5,327 Vol.
4%
Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva$6,131 Vol.
2%
Camilo Santana$6,739 Vol.
1%
Helder Barbalho$463 Vol.
<1%
Ratinho Júnior$93,893 Vol.
<1%
Tereza Cristina$1,084 Vol.
<1%
Eduardo Bolsonaro$40,610 Vol.
<1%
Aldo Rebelo$4,975 Vol.
<1%
Tarcisio de Freitas$4,753 Vol.
<1%
Jair Bolsonaro$4,602 Vol.
<1%
Geraldo Alckmin$4,800 Vol.
<1%
Eduardo Leite$3,069 Vol.
<1%
Rules
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).