Brazil Presidential Election | PROBLY Prediction Market
October 3, 2026
Brazil Presidential Election
0% chance
$95,999,615.104 Vol.
Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva$5,637,261 Vol.
41%
Flávio Bolsonaro$5,815,837 Vol.
29%
Renan Santos$5,489,823 Vol.
16%
Camilo Santana$2,388,946 Vol.
4%
Fernando Haddad$4,788,912 Vol.
3%
Romeu Zema$2,684,952 Vol.
2%
Ronaldo Caiado$2,946,771 Vol.
2%
Tereza Cristina$979,186 Vol.
<1%
Jair Bolsonaro$3,537,468 Vol.
<1%
Michelle Bolsonaro$6,403,234 Vol.
<1%
Geraldo Alckmin$2,543,160 Vol.
<1%
Tarcisio de Freitas$11,526,785 Vol.
<1%
Eduardo Bolsonaro$8,807,881 Vol.
<1%
Aldo Rebelo$3,194,819 Vol.
<1%
Helder Barbalho$310,164 Vol.
<1%
Ratinho Júnior$8,853,007 Vol.
<1%
Eduardo Leite$6,783,808 Vol.
<1%
Rules
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election.
This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).