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US x Iran permanent peace deal by...?
December 31
80%
Yes
No
June 15
16%
Yes
No
$300.8M Vol.
Bitcoin above ___ on June 13?
62,000
>99%
Yes
No
58,000
>99%
Yes
No
$1.4M Vol.
Daily
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by...?
June 30
76%
Yes
No
June 15
36%
Yes
No
$44.5M Vol.
Fed Decision in June?
25 bps decrease
<1%
Yes
No
50+ bps decrease
<1%
Yes
No
$90.4M Vol.
Monthly
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Yes
No
17%
chance
$19.6M Vol.
Monthly
Will Trump restart Project Freedom by...?
Yes
No
--
chance
$7.1M Vol.
What price will Bitcoin hit in June?
↑ 85,000
<1%
Yes
No
↑ 82,500
1%
Yes
No
$13.8M Vol.
Monthly
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit__ by end of June?
↑ $150
--
Yes
No
↑ $200
--
Yes
No
$26.6M Vol.
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Yes
No
50%
chance
$4.5M Vol.
Monthly
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?
Yes
No
<1%
chance
$7.5M Vol.
Monthly
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by...?
June 15
2%
Yes
No
June 30
11%
Yes
No
$2.6M Vol.
What will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit in June 2026?
↑ $120
3%
Yes
No
↑ $130
1%
Yes
No
$3.8M Vol.
Monthly
Where will the next US-Iran diplomatic meeting happen?
Italy
<1%
Yes
No
Egypt
1%
Yes
No
$8.9M Vol.
Daily
Will SpaceX's valuation hit __ by June 30?
↑$2.5T
39%
Yes
No
↓$1.3T
9%
Yes
No
$854.3K Vol.
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
Yes
No
83%
chance
$1.3M Vol.
Monthly
Iran closes its airspace by...?
June 15
5%
Yes
No
June 14
3%
Yes
No
$1.7M Vol.
How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?
3 (75 bps)
2%
Yes
No
2 (50 bps)
3%
Yes
No
$34.2M Vol.
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by...?
December 31
39%
Yes
No
June 30
8%
Yes
No
$14.8M Vol.